There¡¯s been a lot of debate about what the future holds for Europe and its neighborhood if Russia¡¯s invasion of Ukraine succeeds. We already know at least part of the answer, because it¡¯s happening in Georgia.

This is the small Caucasus country where President Vladimir Putin first made clear he was willing to use force to re-impose a Russian sphere of control and influence. How that war began remains controversial and I¡¯ll get to the question later. What happened since shouldn¡¯t be.

On Monday evening, Bidzina Ivanishvili, a Georgian businessman who made his billions in Russia, gave a speech in which he accused a ¡°global party of war¡± of trying to block his nation from asserting its freedom and sovereignty.