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Aaron Brown
The petrodollar system underpinning U.S. financial dominance is breaking down as the Iran war disrupts both oil revenues and foreign demand for Treasurys, exposing limits to their safe-haven status.
COMMENTARY / World
Apr 13, 2026
The Iran war just broke the petrodollar
The virtuous loop that has seen America underwrite stability in the Middle East in exchange for Gulf states recycling their dollar revenues into U.S. Treasurys has been broken.
Futures markets for computing power, driven by increasing demand from AI and other sectors, could help stabilize price volatility and create new investment opportunities, similar to how oil futures manage fluctuations in the energy market.
COMMENTARY / World
Feb 25, 2025
Computing power is going the way of oil in markets
One of the purposes of futures markets is to draw financial investors into the production process of commodities.
Predicting the winner of the 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris remains exceptionally challenging as the the current landscape is highly fluid.
COMMENTARY / World
Sep 6, 2024
Election predictions are too noisy to tell if Trump or Harris will win
There¡¯s a lot of campaigning to go, a lot of events that could turn the election into a landslide for either candidate.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
May 15, 2023
Henry Ford and the lesson crypto enthusiasts must learn
As with automakers at the turn of the last century, the more promising investment approach to digital assets now is to think about what technologies will be needed if the sector takes off.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Apr 24, 2023
Dreams of replacing humans in finance may come true
We¡¯re a long way from AI taking over Wall Street, but two credible studies suggest there¡¯s no reason to think it can¡¯t.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Oct 10, 2022
Young versus old will define fight over public pensions
The market rout is exposing the vulnerability of the U.S. public pension system. Inflation and the tight labor market will force the worst-hit states into some hard decisions.
Japan Times
COMMENTARY / World
Aug 16, 2021
Sports betting is in the midst of another seismic shift
The sports betting industry will continue to be dominated by today's large players, but augmented by acquisitions of smaller bookmakers.

Longform

Projects like the BuddhaBot aim to re-create dialogue once lost to time, raising questions about whether AI can extend the teachings of Buddha or merely simulate them.
Can AI replace a priest? Japan¡¯s temples and shrines are testing the limits.

SUSTAINABLE JAPAN