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May 21, 2026
 

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Cynthia Li
The most popular timing for the next hike is July, by a wide margin, with 48% of economists picking that month, according to the Bloomberg¡¯s survey of 52 economists.
BUSINESS / Economy
Jan 16, 2026
BOJ watchers see next rate hike by July with yen as the X factor
All the respondents to a survey predicted policymakers will keep the benchmark rate unchanged at the next BOJ gathering this month, with the most popular timing being July.
All 50 economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise its benchmark rate to 0.75% at a policy meeting set to conclude next Friday, a Bloomberg survey of BOJ watchers found.
BUSINESS / Economy
Dec 12, 2025
All economists in a recent poll predict BOJ will raise rates
The central bank is expected to restart its cycle of hikes after pausing for months to assess the impact from U.S. President Donald Trump¡¯s tariff campaign.
Most economists in a survey predict that the Bank of Japan will not raise its benchmark rate at its policy meeting this month.
BUSINESS / Economy
Oct 23, 2025
BOJ watchers push back rate hike call after Takaichi takes helm
Some 10% of 50 economists predict the BOJ will raise its benchmark rate at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Oct. 30, plunging from 36% in the previous survey.
BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda speaks during a news conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo on Thursday.
BUSINESS / Economy
Aug 3, 2025
BOJ watchers bring forward next rate hike call after trade deals
The view has emerged after clarity over trade increased with U.S. President Donald Trump announcing deals, including one with Japan.
All 53 economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast the Bank of Japan to hold its benchmark rate at 0.5% at the end of a two-day meeting on June 17.
BUSINESS / Economy
Jun 11, 2025
Most BOJ watchers expect slower pace in reducing bond purchases
All 53 economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast the BOJ to hold its benchmark rate at 0.5% at the end of a two-day meeting on June 17.
A Bloomberg survey said almost three quarters of Bank of Japan watchers who responded said that U.S. tariffs could exert enough of a drag on Japan¡¯s economy to delay the central bank¡¯s rate hike path.
BUSINESS / Economy
Mar 12, 2025
BOJ watchers see gradual rate hikes with higher terminal rate
Economists now anticipate the terminal rate to be 1.25%, up from 1% in the previous survey.
Hong Kong¡¯s growth outlook was cut by economists for the last two quarters of the year.
BUSINESS / Markets
Mar 10, 2025
Singapore and Hong Kong face growth risks over U.S. tariff war with China
Singapore and Hong Kong are among the most exposed to China¡¯s economy via commodity and trade links.
Bank of Japan Gov. Kazuo Ueda speaks at a news conference following the central bank's policy meeting on Friday.
BUSINESS / Economy
Jan 28, 2025
BOJ watchers think next interest rate hike will be in six months
The central bank is likely to pause a while before bringing the rate up to 0.75%, the highest rate since 1995.
Many of the economists noted the interest rate hike is likely unless Donald Trump jolts global financial markets, after he returns to the White House four days before the Bank of Japan¡¯s policy decision.
BUSINESS / Economy
Jan 17, 2025
More than 70% of BOJ watchers expect a rate hike next week
BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda reinforced his deputy¡¯s message this week that his board will consider a rate hike at the meeting, boosting the yen and expectations for action.
Most economists expect the Bank of Japan to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged during their policy meeting next week.
BUSINESS / Economy
Oct 24, 2024
BOJ watchers believe rate hike unlikely now as half brace for year-end shift
Analysts will be closely watching for policy hints from a two-day meeting that ends on Oct. 31, a few days after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba¡¯s first general election.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. Some 53% of economists surveyed by Bloomberg said the earliest timing for a rate change would be in October.
BUSINESS / Economy
Sep 13, 2024
Over half of BOJ watchers see next rate hike coming in December
The survey results show most analysts believe the market ructions after the July 31 rate hike didn't derail the BOJ from the normalization path.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. A majority of the analysts surveyed by Bloomberg said this week¡¯s rate hike by the central bank was appropriate, and nearly 70% expected the rate to be raised again by the end of this year.
BUSINESS / Economy
Aug 2, 2024
Most BOJ watchers rethink pace of hikes after Ueda¡¯s hawkishness
Some 68% of 41 economists see the policy rate rising to 0.5% from 0.25% by the end of this year, according to a Bloomberg survey.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. A Bloomberg survey showed some 14 of 48 economists predict the BOJ will raise its policy rate at the next week¡¯s meeting.
BUSINESS / Economy
Jul 24, 2024
Most BOJ watchers see July rate hike risk with bond-buying cut
Survey respondents also predicted the central bank will cut bond-buying to ?5 trillion per month starting in August.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo
BUSINESS / Economy
Jun 26, 2024
A third of Bank of Japan watchers expect July interest rate hike
Whatever the outcome in July, the survey results show there will be intense interest with possible market volatility ahead of the policy board meeting.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. More than half of the 50 economists surveyed predict the central bank will decide next week to slow the pace of bond buying.
BUSINESS / Markets
Jun 7, 2024
Majority of BOJ watchers expect cut in bond buying next week
Some 54% of 50 economists said the bank will slow the pace of bond buying from around ?6 trillion per month at the policy board gathering.
Bank of Japan Gov. Kazuo Ueda hinted at a chance of a rate hike in the second half of this year by highlighting the likelihood of improvement in the price trend.
BUSINESS / Economy
Apr 18, 2024
More economists see BOJ rate hike in October, flag July risk
All 54 economists except for one predict no policy change at the central bank¡¯s two-day meeting ending on April 26.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. More than a quarter of 47 economists surveyed by Bloomberg said the bank will raise the policy rate again in October while 23% said the hike will come in July.
BUSINESS / Economy
Mar 22, 2024
BOJ watchers see next rate hike by October and risk of faster moves
More than a quarter of 47 economists surveyed said the bank will raise the policy rate again in October, while 23% said the hike will come in July.
Some 38% of Bank of Japan watchers in a survey believe the central bank will end its negative rates next week.
BUSINESS / Economy
Mar 12, 2024
Half of BOJ watchers still see?April rate hike while bets on March move jump
The proportion of 50 economists forecasting an end to the world¡¯s last negative rate in April slipped to 54% in the latest survey from 59% in January.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. None of 51 surveyed economists expects the central bank to raise its negative interest rate this month, with two-thirds forecasting a rate hike by April.
BUSINESS
Jan 17, 2024
Polled economists all see BOJ holding in January after quake
None of 51 surveyed economists expects the central bank to raise its negative interest rate this month, with two-thirds forecasting a rate hike by April.
The Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo. Half of the 52 economists surveyed by Bloomberg said the central bank will scrap its negative rate in April, up from 29% in the October survey.
BUSINESS
Dec 8, 2023
Most BOJ watchers predict end of negative rate regime by April
"The most beautiful scenario is the end of the negative rate in April¡±
Female death row inmate sues Japan government over 24/7 surveillance
Tokyo Detention House guidelines dictate that CCTV surveillance can be used when detainees are at risk of suicide or self-harm, or when there is concern they may try to escape.
Almost half of foreign residents have experienced discrimination: government survey
Japan¡¯s foreign resident population rose 9.5% to a record 4.12 million at the end of 2025, topping 4 million for the first time, according to data from the Immigration Services Agency.
¡®There was no village¡¯: Japan¡¯s troubling pattern of family murder-suicides
Akiko Hashiguchi is one of the few people in Japan to publicly share her personal experience with muri shinj¨± under her own name. She has since been involved in parents¡¯ support work and advocacy around developmental disorders.
Japan arrests Americans over stunt at baby monkey Punch¡¯s zoo
Visitors gather in the rain to catch a glimpse of Punch the monkey at Ichikawa City Zoo in Ichikawa, Chiba Prefecture, in April.
Visitors to Japan down 5.5% in April
Japan Tourism Agency chief Shigeki Murata has emphasized that the government will work on implementing "strategic promotions to attract visitors from more countries and regions."
Female death row inmate sues Japan government over 24/7 surveillance
Tokyo Detention House guidelines dictate that CCTV surveillance can be used when detainees are at risk of suicide or self-harm, or when there is concern they may try to escape.
Installation delays and price hikes hit air conditioners just before summer
Naphtha shortages and a shrinking labor force mean those buying a new air conditioning unit may pay more than last year and then be forced to wait up to a month to have it installed.
¡®There was no village¡¯: Japan¡¯s troubling pattern of family murder-suicides
Akiko Hashiguchi is one of the few people in Japan to publicly share her personal experience with muri shinj¨± under her own name. She has since been involved in parents¡¯ support work and advocacy around developmental disorders.
Before city pop went global, there was Anri
Anri says younger overseas listeners first surprised her during a 2023 performance in Los Angeles, where most of the audience was in their 20s. Nearly five decades after her debut, songs such as ¡°Last Summer Whisper¡± and ¡°I Can¡¯t Stop the Loneliness¡± continue finding new fans.
Trump says ¡®nothing¡¯s changed¡¯ on Taiwan. But his words belie a big shift.
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the press aboard Air Force One en route to the U.S. following his official visit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, on Friday.

Podcast

One of the many entrances to the Kabukicho neighborhood in Tokyo¡¯s Shinjuku Ward.
Kabukicho: Tokyo¡¯s ¡®stadium of desire¡¯

Longform

Anri says younger overseas listeners first surprised her during a 2023 performance in Los Angeles, where most of the audience was in their 20s. Nearly five decades after her debut, songs such as ¡°Last Summer Whisper¡± and ¡°I Can¡¯t Stop the Loneliness¡± continue finding new fans.
Before city pop went global, there was Anri
By Patrick St. Michel

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